Austin Real Estate Market Update | December 2025 Stats & 2026 Outlook
- Jen Berbas
- 3 days ago
- 3 min read
December real estate stats for the Austin Metro are in! Here's what you need to know.
Happy New Year! Here’s to new adventures, great times, and plenty of unforgettable memories in 2026. Let’s kick things off by taking a look at our final stats from 2025.
As expected, December closed out the year on a slower note, in line with typical seasonal trends. The holiday season tends to be the quietest time for real estate activity across the Austin Metro area, but with spring and early summer (our busiest selling seasons) just around the corner, it's the perfect time to assess where the market stands and where it may be heading.
Here are five key takeaways from the December 2025 numbers:
Total sales increased by 5.7% compared to December 2024
Median sold price dropped 3.7% year over year
Active listings rose 11.7%, pushing inventory levels up by nearly 20% year over year
Withdrawn and expired listings jumped 12.5%
Days on market increased to 104 days, up 10.9% from the same time last year
Average and Median Price Trends Hold Flat
In December, the average sold price for residential properties in the 5-county Austin Metro ticked up very slightly to $572,954, just 0.2% above last year. However, the median sold price fell to $432,139, a 3.7% drop from December 2024. This divergence reflects a market still absorbing the impact of higher borrowing costs and more price-sensitive buyers.
Sales Volume Rose Despite Lower Prices
Even though median prices declined, overall sales volume for December increased 1.8% year over year. This was due to the bump in closed transactions rather than price gains. Year-to-date (YTD) however, total volume sold for 2025 was down 2.3% from 2024, signaling the effects of both affordability constraints and shifting buyer demand.
Pending Contracts Point to Slower Momentum
One leading indicator to watch is pending contracts. Total Under Contract/Pending listings were down 4.1% year over year in December. The month-to-month comparison also shows 2025 trailed 2024 pending activity for most of the second half of the year.
However, there was one week in December where we hit 100 homes under contract. We will continue to pull this data weekly and watch this threshold closely. Once the number of pendings is over 100 per week regularly, that means the season has opened for Austin Real estate!
New Listings Staying Steady Heading into Spring
New listings were nearly flat in December with a 0.3% increase year over year. However, the full-year trend shows a more active listing market for most of 2025 compared to 2024. This points to more seller engagement heading into 2026, which may continue to put downward pressure on prices if buyer demand doesn't keep pace.
Inventory and Days on Market Increase
The 5-county region closed December with 4.4 months of inventory, up from 3.7 months in December 2024. Average days on market rose from 94 to 104 days, which suggests longer timelines to get under contract and more negotiating room for buyers.
Mortgage Rates
Nationally, mortgage rates have been around 6.19%, but locally we are seeing clients lock under 6%. (We saw someone get 5.9% just last week!) Traditionally, as rates go down we see buyers’ interest go up. So this could help bring down the months of inventory numbers in the coming months.
If You’re a Buyer
This is shaping up to be a more favorable spring for buyers. That said, well-priced homes in great locations are still moving quickly. Getting prepped early in Q1 will put you in a stronger position as spring competition picks up.
If You’re a Seller
While prices are flat overall, the market is still absorbing inventory. If you're planning to sell in spring or early summer, now is the time to prepare. Pricing competitively and ensuring strong presentation will matter more in 2026 than in the previous couple of years. Data shows buyers are active when listings are strategic and realistic.
Our goal as your trusted real estate advisors is to provide you with the information you need to help you reach your investment goals.
As always, real estate is hyperlocal and extremely situational, so please reach out to us to discuss your specific situation. We’d love to help you and strategize what’s in your best interest.
Cheers!
© 2026 Berbas Group. All rights reserved.
Comments